Meta Platforms’ (META) antitrust trial kicks off this week, the place it should defend itself in opposition to allegations from the U.S. Federal Commerce Fee that it illegally bought Instagram and WhatsApp in 2012 and 2014, respectively. The FTC argues the corporate must be pressured to divest the 2 apps.
Meta executives together with CEO Mark Zuckerberg and former COO Sheryl Sandberg are anticipated to testify through the trial, which is able to seemingly final a number of weeks. Leaders from social media rivals akin to TikTok, Snap (SNAP) and YouTube are additionally anticipated to testify.
A closing choice might nonetheless be years away, based on analysts, however the trial might be carefully watched by tech traders and will result in Meta having to promote Instagram and WhatsApp, despite the fact that the offers have been accredited by regulators on the time they have been made.
Right here’s what traders ought to know concerning the Meta antitrust trial.
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Meta Platforms’ antitrust trial: What’s at stake
The FTC’s antitrust case in opposition to Meta is ready to go to trial on April 14. Right here’s what’s at stake:
- The FTC is suing Meta, alleging that the corporate’s acquisitions of then-new rivals Instagram and WhatsApp greater than a decade in the past maintained Meta’s monopoly within the “private social networking providers” market.
- Although the acquisitions have been accredited by regulators on the time, the FTC argues that Meta must be pressured to divest the 2 apps to revive competitors to the market.
- Meta is anticipated to argue that it faces competitors from firms properly past these recognized by the FTC, together with TikTok, X, YouTube and LinkedIn.
- Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg has been lobbying President Donald Trump and White Home officers to settle the case, based on The Wall Road Journal.
A key side of the case facilities round how the marketplace for social media is outlined. The FTC argues that Meta faces solely two rivals: Snap and the MeWe app. However Meta will argue that its listing of rivals is for much longer.
“The FTC’s case ignores how the market truly works and chases a principle that doesn’t maintain up in the true world,” Meta Chief Authorized Officer Jennifer Newstead wrote in a weblog publish earlier than the trial began. “The proof at trial will present what each 17-year-old on this planet is aware of: Instagram competes with TikTok (and YouTube and X and plenty of different apps).”
FTC vs. Meta Platforms: Potential outcomes
The trial itself is anticipated to final for weeks and a closing decision is probably not identified till 2027, based on Financial institution of America analyst Justin Publish. Listed here are a number of potential outcomes for the way the trial might play out, based on Publish.
- The decide guidelines in Meta’s favor and the corporate is allowed to proceed proudly owning Instagram and WhatsApp with out restrictions.
- The decide guidelines in favor of the FTC, however imposes behavioral cures as a substitute of requiring Meta to divest the 2 apps. Constraints on Meta might embody data-sharing restrictions, operational firewalls or being pressured to share knowledge with rivals. This outcome might sluggish innovation and stress Meta’s margins, Publish says.
- The decide guidelines in favor of the FTC and requires Meta to divest Instagram, WhatsApp or each.
The corporate would seemingly enchantment any ruling in favor of the FTC, based on Publish.
Meta bought Instagram for $1 billion in 2012 and WhatsApp for $19 billion in 2014. Instagram has helped Meta keep related with younger folks and generated over $50 billion in promoting income in 2024, based on Financial institution of America estimates.
WhatsApp performs a key function in Meta’s worldwide development, as it’s the foremost messaging platform in key rising markets. The app has greater than 2 billion international customers.